So far in 2015, Hunt County has surpassed our average rainfall total – and it’s only mid-July. In fact, the local area had been in a years-long drought prior to this past Spring’s sudden drenching deluge.
It appears that the upcoming fall, winter and spring months will be just as wet, if not wetter.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), a massive El Niño weather pattern is growing as sea surface temperature anomalies exceeded 10 degrees Celsius (Centigrade) across the central and eastern equatorial waters of the Pacific Ocean. In fact, NOAA forecasted a 90 percent chance that El Niño will continue through Northern Hemisphere Winter 2015-2016, with an 80 percent chance it will last well into the Spring of 2016.
Effects will remain minimal during the summer months, but are expected to increase into late fall and winter. NOAA meteorologists also stated that the Atlantic Hurricane Season will be below normal this year, while the central and eastern Pacific Hurricane Seasons will experience above-normal levels of activity.
NOAA will post their seasonal outlook on Thursday, July 16. This year’s upcoming El Niño is predicted to be stronger than the El Niño that took place during the winter months of 1997 and 1998.
It was during this particular El Niño that Hunt County experienced a major rainy pattern, resulting in flooding conditions and several consecutive days of rainfall in a row during the months of December, 1997, and January and February in 1998.
As the late, great Harold Taft used to say, however, “We’ll keep you advised.”